NEVILLE FREEMAN AGENCY - Your Future is Our Business
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Consulting and Mentoring

The Neville Freeman Agency works with Australian businesses and organisations to help them clarify issues in the strategic management of their businesses. Frequently this work involves developing customised scenarios, although we also use a variety of other modes of strategic enquiry, such as critical conversations and systemic approaches to all aspects of organisational development. Through mentoring we help CEO's and senior executives develop the 'unwritten' and 'non-technical' skills required for successful business life.

We are well known for the creation of powerful and diverse intellectual resources to help organisations identify their strategic goals and then develop ways to meet them. This requires both skillful project design and the ability to select and source the right people for the job. For more on our immediate faculty, please refer to the Futurists' Register and our Lateral Poppies.

An important aim in these projects is for the organisation itself to assimilate these adaptive learning approaches to strategy-making.

The times they are a changing

September 11 has changed us all. It has changed the way we see the world, how we feel about each other, how we look at each other across boardrooms, across workspaces and across the aisles of airplanes. The things we thought to be important (lifestyle, wealth, status and power) have paled against the things we took for granted (the benevolence of individualistic capitalism, global security, the 'long boom' and our freedom). The world is a more dangerous place, presenting a riskier and more complicated environment in which to do business or manage a public sector portfolio.

Meanwhile, the Knowledge Economy bubbles away. Emergent collaborative models are reshaping society, inciting a shift toward pluralism, participation, rights and responsibilities, and transparency is changing concepts and practices from governance to conflict-resolution to sustainability. As societies change, attitudes and behaviors change. Increasingly we are placing a higher value on conversation, collaboration, innovation, emotional intelligence and lifelong learning - competencies that encourage the continued pursuit and application of new knowledge.

No organisation is immune to the forces that are transforming our world; every organisation can and must evolve. Today, to evolve means to devolve power to the networks; to devolve we must involve more ideas and more people at all levels in strategy, innovation and value creation.

Scenarios - What's the story?

The major benefit of scenario planning is to improve the quality of thinking which leads to strategic decision. It does this by building stories about different possible futures which, themselves, flow from a deep understanding of the uncertainties which are shaping our world.

Scenarios are, thus, particularly helpful in the current environment of accelerating, rapid change brought about by revolutionary breakthroughs in communications, biotechnology, globalisation and a host of new environmental paradigms.

Our scenario building approach investigates major change factors, such as emergent and breakthrough technology, policy intentions and market forces, then develops scenario stories by identifying the way key uncertainties interact in a systemic context.

The scenarios reveal a variety of surprise elements from outside the organisation's usual frame of reference, unexpected interactive dynamics of identified trends, the sequencing of anticipated events and areas of hidden risk. Once painted, the scenario landscape can be used to test the robustness of proposed strategies and policies, and to design alternative approaches that would be more resilient to future changes. Scenarios are useful for resolving conflicting features of the strategic landscape.

In addition, scenarios involve many people in understanding the future operating climate for the organisation, and in creating suitable strategies and initiatives for the future. Through scenarios the organisation can facilitate an ongoing strategic conversation that supports effective growth and change.

The learning and scenario building exercise is helpful in that it may:

deliver a better understanding of supply-side considerations, including a deeper and more diverse understanding of new technologies that may 'impact' on what we do and offer competitive advantage into the future;
deliver a better understanding of the social, economic and environmental parameters in which businesses and organisations have to operate into the future;
deliver an understanding of how competitors at local, national, regional and global levels may develop and respond into the future;
improve understanding of the value chain;
help identify areas of focus and improve the thinking on assumptions, and their systemic links, for subsequent quantitative and qualitative modeling;
produce a blanket understanding and a concordant set of strategies for future directions; and, produce a common 'metaphorical' language as the platform for on-going strategic conversation.

Scenario Examples

Alternative Futures: Scenarios for Business in Australia to the year 2015
Summary Document (PDF) Sydney 2000

A comprehensive series of scenarios produced by Australian business stakeholders for Australian business. Progressed globalisation is considered alongside global failure, through a deep analysis of the IT revolution, social concerns, environmental considerations and the imperatives of the knowledge age.

Navigating a Diverse Region: Scenarios for Asia
Summary Document (PDF) Sydney 1998

The Asian Financial Crisis called for a re-examination of what we know, what is uncertain and what is possible in the future. The Crisis was the catalyst for this broad sweep analysis of Asia that took the form of dissertation and discussion, considering capital flows, the Asian diaspora, the Asian model and guided societies, the role of institutions, multinational networks and the adoption of technology.

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An excellent introductory text to Scenarios is the 'Art of the Long View' by Peter Schwartz. Available at Books from Richmond.

Innovation